Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#140
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#134
Pace73.5#54
Improvement-0.3#180

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#161
Improvement+1.0#115

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#140
Improvement-1.3#242
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 20   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-80 9%     0 - 1 -6.3 -10.7 +5.2
  Nov 13, 2012 12   Miami (FL) W 63-51 17%     1 - 1 +24.0 -1.2 +25.7
  Nov 18, 2012 6   @ Duke L 67-88 5%     1 - 2 -0.2 -4.1 +5.7
  Nov 21, 2012 330   Alcorn St. W 50-48 94%     2 - 2 -13.9 -22.6 +8.8
  Nov 22, 2012 186   Toledo W 72-66 71%     3 - 2 +1.8 -9.5 +10.9
  Nov 24, 2012 97   @ St. John's L 68-79 27%     3 - 3 -3.0 -1.0 -1.2
  Nov 28, 2012 287   @ Samford W 86-62 73%     4 - 3 +19.2 +13.5 +6.7
  Dec 01, 2012 128   Loyola Maryland W 65-50 59%     5 - 3 +14.3 -9.1 +23.3
  Dec 04, 2012 35   @ Iowa St. L 72-83 11%     5 - 4 +3.7 -5.5 +10.4
  Dec 13, 2012 187   Florida International W 76-73 72%     6 - 4 -1.4 -2.0 +0.5
  Dec 22, 2012 263   @ Maine L 78-84 66%     6 - 5 -8.6 -7.3 -0.4
  Dec 31, 2012 336   @ Kennesaw St. W 68-59 88%     7 - 5 1 - 0 -2.2 -3.1 +1.7
  Jan 02, 2013 138   @ Mercer L 70-77 OT 37%     7 - 6 1 - 1 -2.1 -0.6 -1.4
  Jan 05, 2013 296   Jacksonville W 78-55 89%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +11.1 -5.1 +14.7
  Jan 07, 2013 257   North Florida W 75-73 84%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -6.8 -2.8 -4.0
  Jan 10, 2013 214   @ South Carolina Upstate W 72-71 OT 54%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +1.6 -6.9 +8.4
  Jan 12, 2013 324   @ East Tennessee St. L 75-85 82%     10 - 7 4 - 2 -18.2 +0.6 -19.2
  Jan 17, 2013 304   Lipscomb L 78-87 OT 90%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -21.5 -12.1 -8.3
  Jan 19, 2013 258   Northern Kentucky W 73-54 84%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +10.1 +1.4 +9.9
  Jan 25, 2013 243   Stetson W 96-65 82%     12 - 8 6 - 3 +23.1 +7.5 +12.0
  Jan 31, 2013 257   @ North Florida W 89-75 65%     13 - 8 7 - 3 +11.7 +14.4 -2.6
  Feb 02, 2013 296   @ Jacksonville W 81-78 75%     14 - 8 8 - 3 -2.5 +4.5 -7.0
  Feb 07, 2013 324   East Tennessee St. W 67-43 93%     15 - 8 9 - 3 +9.3 -13.4 +23.1
  Feb 09, 2013 214   South Carolina Upstate W 74-49 76%     16 - 8 10 - 3 +19.1 -3.2 +22.2
  Feb 14, 2013 258   @ Northern Kentucky W 60-53 65%     17 - 8 11 - 3 +4.5 -0.9 +6.9
  Feb 16, 2013 304   @ Lipscomb L 74-84 77%     17 - 9 11 - 4 -16.1 -7.3 -8.2
  Feb 22, 2013 243   @ Stetson L 71-80 62%     17 - 10 11 - 5 -10.4 -7.9 -2.0
  Feb 28, 2013 138   Mercer W 60-57 62%     18 - 10 12 - 5 +1.5 -5.6 +7.4
  Mar 02, 2013 336   Kennesaw St. W 67-49 95%     19 - 10 13 - 5 +0.3 -12.7 +13.4
  Mar 06, 2013 257   North Florida W 73-63 75%     20 - 10 +4.4 -2.4 +7.1
  Mar 08, 2013 243   Stetson W 72-58 73%     21 - 10 +9.3 -6.3 +15.2
  Mar 09, 2013 138   Mercer W 88-75 50%     22 - 10 +14.7 +15.1 -0.6
Projected Record 22.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.7 0.8 28.5 70.5 0.2
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.8 28.5 70.5 0.2